My model, which I explain below, provides an estimate for the performance of an average general in any given circumstances. I adopted WAR to estimate a given military tactician’s contributions beyond or below an average general.
WAR is far from perfect, but provides a way to compare players based on one statistic.
For example, a baseball player with 5 WAR contributed 5 additional wins to his team, compared to the average contributions of a high-level minor league player. It calculates the total wins added (or subtracted) by the player compared to a replacement-level player. WAR is often used as an estimate of a baseball player’s contributions to his team. Inspired by baseball sabermetrics, I opted to use a s ystem of Wins Above Replacement (WAR). The result is a system for ranking every prominent commander in military history. Unlike Hannibal, I sought to use data to determine a general’s abilities, rather than specific accounts of generals’ achievements. Like Hannibal, I wanted to rank powerful leaders in the history of warfare. Then Scipio broke into a laugh and said, “What would you say if you had defeated me?” When Africanus asked who, in Hannibal’s opinion, was the greatest general, Hannibal named Alexander… as to whom he would rank second, Hannibal selected Pyrrhus… asking whom Hannibal considered third, he named himself without hesitation. Ranking Every* General in the History of Warfare
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